The
U.S. cookie industry makes up 27% of the 2012 U.S. cookie, cracker, and pasta
market. Its total revenue is $6.075
billion, $1.0 billion of which was profit.
The overall cookie market is largely driven by the number of American
households with children under 12 years of age, as 97% of cookie consumers are
children under 12. While the overall
U.S. cookie, cracker, and pasta industry is expected to grow at 2.0% annually
over the next five years, the cookie share of that is expected to decline slightly
due to a decrease in the number of American households having children. There is, however, a growing trend in
healthier, more natural products, and there is an opportunity to capitalize on
this growing trend.
Addressable
Market:
Demand
for crackers & cookies is directly proportional to income growth, meaning
households with a higher level of disposable income are more likely to purchase
cookies. There is also a growing trend
in changing dietary and lifestyle patterns, where consumers are increasingly
conscious of their health and strapped for time. Consumers are increasingly looking for low
calorie snacks that can be easily consumed on the go. While CookIns are not considered to be a
healthy option by any means, they are small and made of all real, natural ingredients,
and can be easily be eaten as a snack on the go.
Realistic
Opportunities vs. Competition:
Much
of the cookie market is dominated by a few key players such as Oreo, Nabisco,
and Ritz. These examples have stayed
strong despite a recent slip in the market due to their high level of brand
loyalty. It will be nearly impossible to
try and compete directly in this specific market due to the strength of these
brand names. There are, however,
opportunities that exist where there are little to no brand names in direct competition. Places like Whole Foods Market & Trader
Joes spend their efforts looking for all natural options and in many cases will
try to promote the small local producer.
These stores also happen to cater to houses with higher disposable
income, as well as those looking for healthier, more natural options.
Targeted
Selection of “Winnable” Market Opportunities:
Combining the opportunities listed above, the
most promising “winnable” market for CookIns is the middle to upper-middle
class family with kids. These families
are typically short on time, as both parents are working, and the kids are
involved in extra-curricular activities.
These families are also likely to be part of the growing trend of people
looking for healthier, more natural options.
CookIns help with both of those issues, as they are quick and easy to
prepare, while also providing a high quality dessert. They involve no clean-up, and can be eaten as
a snack on the go. Combining these
factors gives CookIns its best shot at its “winnable” market.
Works Cited
IBISWorld Industry Report C1114-GL. (2012). Global
Bakery Goods Manufacturing. IBISWorld.
Tang, O. (2012). Cookie, Cracker & Pasta
Production in the US. IBISWorld.
Steve, very in depth analysis. You obviously have done your homework on the market. Just out of curiosity, where do you invision your product being placed in the grocery store? Also, you mentioned all natural ingredients. Have you thought about all organic ingredients? I know here in Maine every grocery store is expanding these sections of the store...probably because of my wife.
ReplyDeleteBrett,
ReplyDeleteWe will be placing this in the frozen foods section of the store, along with the frozen baked goods. We have considered organic, as well as gluten free options as a possible expansion after our initial offering. We are planning to launch our all natural recipe as our MVP, with hopes of expanding into organic & gluten free if the MVP performs well.